Equity curve rises steadily. Each green dot is a winning trade; red dots are losses.
[09:15:01] Started Backtest | Model: LightGBM
[09:15:01] Loaded 5,000 candles for XAUUSD H1
[09:15:02] Computing features (72 cols): atr, atr_ratio, rsi_7, rsi_14, sma*_dist, ema*_dist, macd_norm, bb_pct, bb_width, stoch_k, stoch_d, mom*/lag*, adx_14, di_diff, cci_20, willr_14, ema200_dist, ema50_200, hour, day_of_week...
[09:15:03] Features computed.
[09:15:04] Computing labels (look_ahead=10, sl_mult=1.0, tp_mult=2.0)...
[09:15:04] Labels: buy=1562 sell=1123 nan=2315 (total=5000)
[09:15:04] Starting walk-forward: 22 steps, train=200, predict=10, warmup=50
[09:15:05] Step 1/22 | Train: bars 50-250 | Fit LightGBM (n_est=100, depth=6)
[09:15:05] Step 1/22 | predicting bars 250-260 | 3 trades | Capital: $10,186.50
[09:15:06] Step 5/22 | Train: bars 90-290 | 2 trades | Capital: $10,321.80
[09:15:09] Step 10/22 | Train: bars 140-340 | 3 trades | Capital: $10,452.10
[09:15:13] Step 22/22 | Train: bars 260-460 | 2 trades | Capital: $10,842.15
[09:15:13] Backtest complete — 47 trades, final capital $10,842.15 (+8.42%)
[09:15:13] Metrics: PF=2.45 WR=68.1% MaxDD=3.12% Sharpe=1.87 Sortino=2.31
MT5: Connected – MetaTrader 5 build 4150 Balance: 10000.00 USD
1
XAUUSD
M15
10001
Running
42
BUY @2345.50 Conf:62%
[13:45:01] Instance started
[13:45:01] Fetched 250 bars. Training model...
[13:45:02] Bar 05-20 13:45 | PREDICT: BUY conf=51.2%
[13:45:02] Bar 05-20 13:45 | SKIP: confidence too low (< 55%)
[14:00:01] Fetched 250 bars. Training model...
[14:00:02] Bar 05-20 14:00 | PREDICT: BUY conf=62.4%
[14:00:02] ATR=3.20 sl_mult=1.0 tp_mult=2.0 SL-dist=3.20 TP-dist=6.40
[14:00:02] Bar 05-20 14:00 | PLACED: BUY @2345.50 SL:2342.30 TP:2351.90 lot=0.01 conf=62.4%